(Hypertension. 1995;25:294-301.)
© 1995 American Heart Association, Inc.
Articles |
From the Centre de Médecine Préventive Cardio-Vasculaire (G.C., M.D., G.B., J.M.) and the Medical Informatics Department (G.C.), Broussais Hospital, Paris, France.
| Abstract |
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6 mm Hg). In 16 of these 33 patients, the fall
in blood pressure above 6 mm Hg was not maintained in the morning, 24
hours after drug intake. Response reproducibility was tested by
comparison with the second treatment pair: the observed agreement was
only 0.71 (chance-corrected agreement: 0.34) when defined according to
both evening and morning values. N-of-1 trial methodology can be useful
for decision making in the care of individual patients. It can be based
on the use of home blood pressure determinations, provided that there
are at least 30 readings in each 5-day trial period. The individual
agreement between the antihypertensive responses to two successive
enalapril treatment periods is only moderate and is not sufficient to
justify using this design for performing in individual patients
randomized comparison of an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor and
another antihypertensive drug.
Key Words: randomized controlled trials enalapril antihypertensive therapy angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors self care monitoring, physiologic blood pressure monitors
| Introduction |
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Even if the five major first-line antihypertensive drug classes have comparable efficacies at the group level, they have greatly varying efficacies at the individual level. This variability in patient response explains why in most trials the standard deviation of the drug-induced BP fall is similar to the average fall itself.9 10 Consequently, in practice, a clinician is unable to predict which first-line drug will have the best efficacy in most cases of mild to moderate uncomplicated essential hypertension. Moreover, he or she has major difficulties analyzing an individual BP response because of the placebo effect and BP variability. The "N-of-1" methodology is appealing in this context because it combines individualization of treatment choice and unbiased evaluation of treatment efficacy.
In this report, we explore the possibility of applying the method of randomized trials in individual patients (N-of-1 trials), proposed for use in various diseases by Guyatt et al,3 4 to hypertensive patients. The purpose of such N-of-1 trials in hypertension management would be to allow selection of first-step treatment in an individual hypertensive patient by testing precisely two drugs likely to have contrasting effects on BP, eg, diuretics and ß-blockers, or angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors and calcium channel blockers.5
To explore the feasibility of this approach, we designed two pilot studies aiming first to determine patient acceptability of such methodology and the minimal duration of treatment periods, and second to assess the reproducibility of treatment effect in the individual patient. To achieve this last goal, patients underwent two successive treatment pairs, each including a 5-day placebo period and 5-day enalapril period. We selected enalapril as the test drug because it had been shown to be immediately effective, without reinforcement of or escape from its initial effect.11 We chose BP self-measurement at home as the appropriate method for increasing the number of BP determinations available for statistical analysis.12 13
| Methods |
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For both studies, patients of both sexes were selected from referrals to the Hypertension Clinic at Broussais Hospital between April 1991 and April 1992 according to the following criteria: age between 20 and 80 years; elevated auscultatory BP levels (systolic BP 160 to 219 mm Hg or diastolic BP 95 to 114 mm Hg), with or without treatment, at the first consultation in the clinic; absence of cardiovascular complications (stroke, coronary heart disease), plasma creatinine level lower than 175 µmol/L, and absence of arrhythmia; absence of reasons to suspect potential compliance problems (depression, alcoholism, poor comprehension of the French language); attendance at a 1-hour teaching session on hypertension and BP self-measurement; willingness to return to the clinic 3 weeks later; no antihypertensive drug treatment at the start of the trial (no calcium channel blockers in the preceding 48 hours and no other antihypertensive medication in the preceding 2 weeks); and acceptance of the individual trial program for patients included in study 2.
Patients were eventually included in the study when they satisfied two home BP measurement criteria: (1) More than 80% of the scheduled BP self-measurements at home had to be obtained and valid. Measurements were considered invalid when heart rate was less than 40 beats per minute or greater than 120 beats per minute and/or systolic and diastolic BP readings were not compatible (less than 20 mm Hg difference); (2) Mean systolic pressure was greater than or equal to 130 mm Hg and/or mean diastolic pressure was greater than or equal to 80 mm Hg to take into account the generally lower BP values obtained at home14 15 during the first 5 days of measurement (days 2 through 6).
Table 1 shows the general characteristics of all patients included in this report.
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Device
The BP self-monitoring device used was the previously validated
Oscillomat (model UA-751, Colson), a semiautomated cuff oscillometric
sphygmomanometer with a built-in printer.16 17
Patient Education
Each patient attended a 1-hour teaching session18
that included explanations concerning the basic principles of BP
self-measurement, the meaning of BP values, and the use of the
monitoring device. Each patient measured his or her BP at least three
times in the presence of the physician, who verified in each case the
correct use and functioning of the device. Patients were instructed to
measure their BP three consecutive times in the sitting position in the
morning before breakfast and in the evening after dinner. In addition,
it was explained to each study 2 participant that he or she would take
one tablet per day at breakfast, after the morning BP measurements,
from a pill box containing one tablet per day: either 20 mg enalapril
or its placebo. Patients were given clear explanations and reassurances
concerning this medication, which has been widely prescribed since
1985. The patients were aware that they would not be actively treated
every day of the 3 weeks, but they had no indication of which days
corresponded to active treatment and which days corresponded to
placebo. Each patient was provided with a typed pamphlet including
general information about the use of the device, enalapril, and the
timing of drug intake and BP measurements.
Design of the N-of-1 Trial
Each single-blind individual trial consisted successively of 6
days of placebo-enalapril (allowing 1 day of adaptation to the BP
measurement method plus the standard period of 5 days) designated P1, 5
days of 20 mg enalapril (E1), 5 days of placebo-enalapril (P2), and 5
days of 20 mg enalapril (E2). The choice of 5-day periods, two pairs,
and enalapril were made for the following reasons, respectively: (1)
The 5-day period was a compromise between acceptability of the length
of the individual trial and the reduction of variance allowed by the
repetition of measurements with time (see "Results"). (2) The
second identical pair (P2/E2) was included to test the reproducibility
of the BP response obtained during the first treatment pair (P1/E1) and
to check that BP returned immediately to a similar baseline state (P2
versus P1) following abrupt enalapril cessation after 5 days of
administration. (3) The pharmacological characteristics of 20 mg
enalapril, ie, rapid onset and offset of action and no serious side
effects, made it a suitable candidate drug. Placebo-enalapril tablets
were necessarily identical in appearance to the 20-mg enalapril
tablets. All tablets and pill boxes were kindly provided by Merck,
Sharp & DohmeChibret.
Renin Measurements
Active renin was measured with an immunoradiometric assay in
blood obtained after patients had stood for 1 hour just before starting
the study.19
Statistical Analysis
Patients returned their automatically printed BP measurements
for analysis after 3 weeks of measurements. Data were entered on an
Apple Macintosh microcomputer into a previously prepared program
identical for each patient. Day 1 measurements were considered as
training measurements and were not included in any calculations. Global
means (±1 SD) were automatically calculated for systolic and diastolic
BP values for each of the four 5-day periods (30 measurements). Means
(±1 SD) were also calculated for the morning and evening values for
each period in each patient (15 measurements), allowing investigation
of drug efficacy over 24 hours in study 2.
Data are shown for both systolic and diastolic BP; statistical calculations are only presented for diastolic BP because results were similar for both pressures.
Data are mean±1 SD. Means were compared using a paired or unpaired
Student's t test as appropriate. Percentages were compared
using a
2 test. Standard statistical procedures and
ANOVA were performed with SAS statistical software.20
ANOVA was used to test the effect of different sources of variation on BP level. In study 1, the following effects and their first-order interactions were considered: period: a period was a 5-day interval; day: a day was the 24-hour interval during which BP was measured morning and evening; there were 5 days for each period; time of day: time of day corresponded to either the morning or evening BP values.
For the series of N-of-1 trials (study 2), pair, period (four periods for each patient, during which either enalapril or placebo was taken), day, and time of day effects and their first-order interactions were considered. A pair was the 10-day interval during which a patient was given first placebo and then enalapril; there were therefore two pairs in each individual trial.
A diastolic BP fall greater than or equal to 6 mm Hg was selected as the threshold for differentiating responders from non-responders. Within a Gaussian distribution of BP responses, such a choice is arbitrary but corresponds to the mean difference in office measurements between placebo and active treatment in large-scale therapeutic trials.21
| Results |
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Study 1: Analysis of Self-Measured BP Values at Home
Components of the Variance and Regression to the Mean Effect
ANOVA showed no period and no day effect. There was a significant
time of day effect: BP was slightly higher (by 1.3 mm Hg) in the
morning than in the evening. As shown in Table 2,
although no significant regression to the mean was observed, the
evening BP fell slightly, mainly from period 1 to period 2. This small
effect was further demonstrated by analyzing the components of
variance. When we applied the model used for the series of individual
trials (study 2) to the 35 subjects observed without treatment (study
1), 60.6% of the variance was attributable to between-subject
variance. For the within-subject variance (39.4%), 0.25% was due to
pair effect, 8.9% to period effect, 0.25% to day effect, 48.0% to
time of day effect, and 42.3% to model error.
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Selection of the Number of Days and Measurements Necessary To
Minimize the Variability of Difference Between Two BP Values in the
Absence of Treatment
To determine the influence of the number of measurements on the
variability of the difference between two mean BP values, we calculated
the standard deviation of the difference between two means derived from
increasing numbers of evening BP measurements over two 10-day intervals
in these untreated patients. A first difference was calculated between
the first BP taken on the second day and the first BP taken on the 12th
day. A second difference was calculated between the mean of the first
two BP measurements taken on the second day and the mean of the first
two BP measurements taken on the 12th day. This procedure was repeated
until a last (30th) difference calculated between the mean of the 30 BP
measurements taken from the second to the 11th day and the mean of the
30 BP measurements taken from the 12th day to the 21st day. Results are
shown in Fig 1. The maximal reduction in the standard
deviation of the difference between two mean BP values was obtained
when each mean was defined by the maximal 30 measurements (3
measurements for 10 consecutive days). Fig 1 shows that 80% of this
maximal reduction was already obtained with mean values defined by 15
measurements (3 measurements collected over 5 days). Therefore, a
period of 5 consecutive days of BP measurement was considered
sufficient to accurately detect a drug-induced fall in BP in a single
patient.
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Study 2: Series of Individual Trials
The objective of an N-of-1 trial is to allow an individualized
decision to be made based on the data collected in a single patient.
Therefore, each individual trial was analyzed separately. A typical
group analysis was then performed to verify that enalapril had its
expected antihypertensive effect.
Analysis at the Individual Level
Analysis of the first pair. Fig 2 shows the
distribution of the enalapril-induced diastolic BP falls in the evening
and morning. For practical purposes, it was necessary to define
responders and non-responders, although the distribution of BP falls
was continuous. We classified the patients on their diastolic BP values
measured in the evening, 12 hours after drug intake. Thirty-three
patients (75%) had a fall in diastolic BP greater than or equal to 6
mm Hg and were classified as responders to enalapril. Table 3 compares responder characteristics with those of
non-responders. Responders had higher clinic diastolic BP
(P=.059) and slightly higher mean diastolic BP during the 5
days of placebo (P=.095). The only statistically significant
difference concerned supine active renin level (after logarithmic
transformation), which was significantly higher in responders than in
non-responders (P<.01).
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Duration of effect. The morning/evening effect was studied in the first treatment pair. Only 17 patients among 44 were classified as both morning and evening responders, 16 were responders only in the evening, 2 were responders only in the morning, and 9 were both morning and evening non-responders. Forty-nine percent of the patients whose BP responded to ACE inhibition (75% of the initial 44 patients) were not covered for 24 hours by 20 mg enalapril once daily.
Reproducibility of BP response between two successive treatment
pairs. The reproducibility of the BP response between two
successive treatment pairs in the same individual was assessed by
applying the same criteria to both treatment pairs (ie, an
enalapril-induced diastolic BP fall
6 mm Hg). Using evening
diastolic BP, 21 patients were classified as responders during the
second enalapril period, compared with 33 during the first enalapril
period. Table 4A shows the concordance between the two classifications.
The observed agreement between the two methods was 0.59. The
value
was 0.20, meaning that there was only poor agreement beyond that due to
chance alone between the responses observed in both
pairs.22
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Using a more stringent criterion, ie, diastolic BP fall greater
than or equal to 6 mm Hg for both evening and morning diastolic BP
values, 12 patients were classified as responders during the second
enalapril period, compared with 17 during the first enalapril period.
Table 4B shows the concordance between the two
classifications. The observed agreement between the two methods was
0.71. The
value was 0.34, meaning that there was moderate agreement
beyond that due to chance alone between the responses observed in the
two pairs.22
Analysis at the Group Level
Overall effect. Fig 3 shows the day-by-day
overall treatment effect. For each patient, a day was defined by the
mean of six BP measurements, and Fig 3 was obtained by averaging
individual means. Means obtained during the four periods are shown in
Table 2. Enalapril lowered systolic and diastolic BP values
significantly, and its effect was detectable as soon as 12 hours after
the first drug intake.
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For diastolic BP, ANOVA showed no pair (P=.42) and no day (P=.79) effects but a period effect (P<.0001), and a time of day effect (P<.0001). A treatment by time of day interaction was present (P<.001), indicating that the difference between morning and evening BPs was not the same during placebo and enalapril treatment. During placebo, morning and evening BP values were comparable in these 44 patients (morning minus evening BP: 0.3 [5.7] mm Hg), whereas during enalapril, morning BP was higher than evening BP (morning minus evening BP: 3.8 [6.6] mm Hg), which is explained by the fact that the effect of enalapril did not last for 24 hours in all responders.
Reproducibility of enalapril effect. The second enalapril period also decreased BP (Fig 4), and the effect was again detectable 12 hours after administration of the first active tablet. ANOVA showed a period-by-pair interaction (P=.014), indicating that the same dose of enalapril did not have the same hypotensive effect in the two treatment pairs. The diastolic BP fall (P1-E1) in the first pair was 9.1 (6.0) mm Hg, whereas that measured during the second pair (P2-E2) was 5.1 (5.8) mm Hg. This difference in the BP fall between the two pairs was attributable to both a lower initial BP level during the second placebo period (P2) and a smaller hypotensive effect during the second enalapril period (E2). The magnitude of the difference between the two identical periods of each pair did not depend on the BP level, neither for enalapril (E2-E1) nor for its placebo (P2-P1).
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| Discussion |
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BP Self-Measurement at Home as the Measurement Instrument
An appropriate measurement method must be sensitive (responsive),
valid, and precise. BP self-measurement at home has been shown to be a
sensitive tool, ie, able to detect small changes.25 26
However, the BP fall detected by this method is smaller than that
observed with clinic measurements, where BP is generally
higher.13 The precision of the measurement method has a
major influence on the quantification of the hypotensive effect and
consequently on the physician's treatment decisions. Several reports
have pointed out that increasing the number of BP values by continuous
monitoring allows reduction in the number of subjects necessary for
meaningful results in drug trials.12 27 Precision
improvement is not only a valuable goal in drug research, it should
also be considered a key element in managing the individual
hypertensive patient. Study 1 confirmed that the steady state necessary
for performing an N-of-1 trial was achieved during a 3-week period in
patients with mild to moderate hypertension after exclusion of the
first day of measurement. We therefore conclude that daily home BP
measurements for 3 weeks fulfill the necessary methodological
requirements for assessing an individual BP response to drug treatment.
Enalapril as the Study Drug
Enalapril was chosen because the pharmacokinetic and
pharmacodynamic heterogeneity of BP response to this drug class has
been well documented. For most antihypertensive drugs, there are no
precise data regarding the timing of onset and of maximal effect and
the duration of persistent action after therapy cessation. Meredith et
al11 demonstrated that the first dose of enalapril was
effective and produced effects similar to those measured after 7 days
and 1 month of treatment. The pooling of our individual trials allowed
the analysis of BP changes every 12 hours in a group of 44 patients
over 20 consecutive days. This provided a complete picture of the time
course of an enalapril-induced fall in BP when prescribed once a day.
The maximal hypotensive effect is already detected in the evening, 12
hours after enalapril intake, and BP returns toward its initial level
within 24 to 36 hours when enalapril is abruptly withdrawn after 5 days
of therapy. Treatment cessation after such a short treatment course has
a different effect from cessation after several weeks or months of
treatment, where a slow return of BP toward initial values is
frequently observed, at least with the classic methodology of BP
monitoring during clinic visits scheduled at regular
intervals.28
Study Design and Analysis
Our individual trials were 3 weeks long and included two 10-day
treatment pairs. The relatively short duration of treatment periods and
the rapid shift from placebo to active drug were chosen to maximize the
likelihood that all patients would participate in the entire trial.
When a patient complied with a 3-week program, the number of
measurements did not decrease with time, and when a patient did not
comply with the program, this was evident from early on. This
methodology was successfully used by 75% of the patients selected for
the present work, a proportion similar to that observed in a
previous study in patients referred to the same hypertension
clinic.29 These results support the feasibility of this
design.
In our patients, the distribution of the hypotensive effect of enalapril was unimodal (Fig 4). Therefore, the distinction between responders and non-responders appears as arbitrary as the distinction between hypertensive and normotensive subjects. In both cases, a binary classification is necessary to decide in practice whether a patient is hypertensive and whether he or she benefits from a particular drug. The 6 mm Hg threshold was selected because it was the average BP fall observed in treated patients in an overview of large-scale trials19 and identified 33 responders. The presence of the expected difference in initial renin levels between responders and non-responders supports the validity of this classification method.23 A classification based on a Bayesian approach30 resulted in comparable results (data not shown).
In 16 of the 33 responders, the enalapril-induced BP reduction did not last 24 hours. These results confirm those of Meredith et al,11 who pointed out that twice-daily administration of a lower enalapril dose might be preferable to once-daily administration of a higher dose, an observation also made with other ACE inhibitors.31 These results suggest that both the choice of drug and its daily administration schedule should be tailored for each patient, even with drugs labeled as once-daily drugs. Home BP self-monitoring is clearly superior in this respect to clinic BP measurement, which cannot be routinely performed just before drug intake or precisely at the peak effect. This could provide each patient with an optimal therapeutic schedule and improve the prevention of early rises in morning BP.
Individual BP Response Reproducibility
The last goal of the present study was to test the
reproducibility of short-term individual BP responses to a given drug
(absence of period effect), a prerequisite before performing classic
N-of-1 trials involving the successive administration of two different
drugs. The efficacy of enalapril was easy to demonstrate for both pairs
at the group level, but the individual agreement between the two
responses to enalapril was only moderate at best. However, this should
be interpreted in the context of usual clinical practice where clinical
decisions (to treat or not, to alter drug treatment or not, etc) are
made on the basis of relatively few measurements or even sometimes a
single measurement performed at the physician's office. The lack of
reproducibility of BP response to enalapril is partly due to BP
fluctuation around the decisional threshold32 and partly
to a treatment-period interaction, ie, a significantly smaller BP
response to enalapril in the second period, a well-known limitation of
crossover trials.6 7 Consequently, in an N-of-1 trial over
this time interval, in which two drugs with different mechanisms of
action would be successively tested against their respective placebos,
the BP response to the second drug would be at risk of being
systematically underestimated. Can this limitation be overcome? Our
trial design included a very short second placebo period (5 days),
during which the BP level did not return completely to the level
observed during the first placebo period. This is a first factor that
reduced the observed BP fall with the second enalapril administration.
Since adherence to the protocol was undiminished with time in compliant
patients and home BP monitoring has already been reported to be
feasible over 9 consecutive weeks,33 it certainly would be
informative to design trials with longer placebo or active treatment
periods. The patients' task could be facilitated if BP measurements
were restricted to the last 5 days of 2-week or 4-week pairs. Second,
our choice of an ACE inhibitor may have unmasked a specific
drug-related phenomenon that decreased the effectiveness of its second
administration. During repeated ACE inhibitor administration, ACE
induction34 and the rise in renin and angiotensin
I35 can cause drug escape, with reappearance of plasma
angiotensin II and minimization of the fall in BP, as already reported
with captopril36 and spirapril.37 Increasing
the treatment duration would allow estimation of the BP fall at a new
steady state. Along with the use of longer treatment pairs, studies of
other antihypertensive drug classes are necessary to fully investigate
the usefulness of this technique in individualized hypertension
management.
Conclusion
This first attempt to examine whether randomized trials in
individual patients could be used for drug selection in the individual
hypertensive patient has highlighted the potential advantages and
limitations of this methodology. (1) BP self-measurement at home over
several days in the morning and evening can provide evidence of the
steady state necessary before a drug-induced BP fall can be assessed
precisely. Independent of the performance of an N-of-1 trial, this
measurement method is able to improve the appropriateness of the choice
of the first-line treatment and also the drug administration schedule.
(2) To perform an N-of-1 trial comparing two drugs in the same patient,
a prolongation of treatment periods or of both treatment and placebo
periods is likely to be necessary. This would have the advantages of
increasing the washout period after the first active drug
administration period and the number of measurements and also of
minimizing the period effect that would bias the comparison of the BP
effects of two different drugs prescribed successively. However, these
advantages must be weighed against the limits of patient acceptability,
when periods of treatment are too long. (3) Enalapril, 20 mg once a
day, was selected for testing the feasibility of the N-of-1 trial in
hypertension and was effective in 79% of the patients. It did not
control BP for 24 hours in all patients. The smaller hypotensive
response of the second course of treatment may be the equivalent of the
time-dependent decline previously observed during the first days of
captopril treatment37 and has contributed to the
unsatisfactory reproducibility of two successive identical treatment
periods. (4) Other drugs, especially some of the calcium blockers,
could be tested in this kind of trial. Drug pharmacokinetic and
pharmacodynamic characteristics should be taken into account when the
test drugs, their daily dose, and the most appropriate duration of the
treatment pairs are selected.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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Received July 5, 1994; first decision August 3, 1994; accepted October 3, 1994.
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