(Hypertension. 1999;33:24-31.)
© 1999 American Heart Association, Inc.
Scientific Contributions |
From the Harvard School of Public Health (W.B.S.); Tufts University/New England Medical Center (C.H.S., D.C.); MetaWorks, Inc (W.B.S., D.N., G.W.W., J-F.C., D.L., S.D.R., T.C.C.); and Tufts University (T.C.C.), Boston, Mass.
| Abstract |
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Key Words: angina pectoris meta-analysis nifedipine safety
| Introduction |
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Two recent studies, however, have questioned the safety of CCBs in general and nifedipine in particular. A meta-analysis of randomized, controlled trials (RCTs) of nifedipine involving patients with myocardial infarction (MI) or unstable angina or patients with coronary artery disease who were undergoing coronary angiography concluded that the use of immediate-release (IR) nifedipine was associated with a significant, dose-related increase in mortality.1 A case-control study of patients with hypertension enrolled in the Group Health Cooperative of Puget Sound reported that CCBs were associated with a statistically significant, dose-related increase in MI.2 On the basis of these and other studies, the authors recommended against the use of CCBs in patients with acute coronary syndromes and for restricted use in hypertensive patients until results from ongoing, large-scale, clinical trials become available.3 4 5 6
To assess the safety of nifedipine in patients with stable angina pectoris participating in clinical trials, we performed a meta-analysis of published RCTs to examine rates of adverse cardiovascular events for (1) nifedipine compared with other active drugs; (2) nifedipine formulation effects (IR, sustained-release [SR], and extended-release [ER] formulations); and (3) nifedipine monotherapy compared with its combination with other drugs (combination therapy). Outcomes of interest were deaths, nonfatal MIs, nonfatal strokes, revascularization procedures during the study period, and episodes of increased angina. Other reasons for early withdrawals from trials were also examined. The results of a companion analysis of studies of hypertensive patients have been recently published.7 This report provides results in studies of stable angina patients.
| Methods |
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10 patients
with stable angina; that compared any nifedipine
formulation, either as monotherapy or combination therapy, with a
nondihydropyridine active drug or a placebo control
for
1 week's duration; and that reported adverse clinical events by
treatment group. Studies were identified by a MEDLARS search that exploded the Medical Subject Heading term "myocardial ischemia" and searched for "nifedipine" as a text word. The search extended from 1966 through August 1995 and included articles in English, French, Italian, German, and Spanish languages. The Current Contents CD-ROM was searched independently. Computer-based searches were supplemented by manual searches of bibliographies of retrieved articles to detect other potentially acceptable studies. Two levels of study screening were used. First, studies that were obviously ineligible, such as animal studies, pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic studies, or those written in ineligible languages, were excluded. Second, 2 physician reviewers assessed studies (with Results sections blinded) for fit with the aforementioned study inclusion criteria.
A total of 1764 citations were thus identified, of which 62 were ultimately accepted for data extraction. The most common reasons for rejection at the second level screening were as follows: not an RCT (n=21); treatment <1 week (n=17); adverse clinical events not reported or not assignable by study arm (n=21); <10 patients (n=5); the only control drug was a dihydropyridine (n=8); preliminary report (n=2); and patient selection was made only after a successful nifedipine run-in (n=2).
Selected studies were blinded as to source, authors, and treatment groups and then were extracted independently by 2 investigators using a data extraction form. Details of treatment regimens were extracted from unblinded articles by a third reviewer. Extraction forms were subsequently compared, and discrepancies were resolved. In 2 studies, questions of interpretation arose with respect to the assignment of adverse events by study arm; in both cases, ambiguities could not be resolved, and the study was excluded. The same reviewers also assessed the quality of each study using the scoring systems of Chalmers9 and Jadad.10 All data were entered into Excel spreadsheets, verified, and downloaded for analysis with the use of SAS11 software.
Deaths, nonfatal MIs, nonfatal strokes, and revascularization procedures that occurred during the study were unambiguous and classified as major cardiovascular events. Episodes of increased angina were variably defined (unstable angina, crescendo angina, angina at rest, or increased frequency or severity of chest pain) and therefore were analyzed separately and in combination with major events in analyses of all cardiovascular events.
Study withdrawals were classified as due to either adverse drug reactions (ADRs) or other causes. Withdrawals for ADRs included those for drug-related symptoms, such as edema or headache, as well as the aforementioned cardiovascular events. Withdrawals for other causes included protocol violations, loss to follow-up, and lack of efficacy. Most studies reported only a single reason for withdrawal for a given patient and did not describe the clinical course after withdrawal. Hence, it is not possible to examine progression from increased angina to MI or death. The time spent on treatment from randomization to cardiovascular events or withdrawals for ADRs was rarely reported.
Because the majority of studies had no events in either the treatment
or control arms, we could not compute within-study estimates of
treatment effects. Heterogeneity statistics and random
effects estimates could not be calculated for the same
reasons.12 Incidence rates and odds ratios (OR) with 95%
CIs were calculated from the total number of events, comparing
nifedipine study arms with corresponding other active drug
arms in the same studies. Placebo arms were excluded from the
analysis because there were too few groups with few patients
and events to permit statistical pooling. We compared our results with
those obtained by applying the Peto method, which excludes trials in
which no event occurred in any study arm.13 Results were
similar. In fact, unweighted pooling and the Peto method can be shown
to give equivalent OR estimates when
1 event occurs during a study
and the OR equals 1.0. The 2 methods give approximately equal results
when the odds differ by a factor of
3.0. All of these methods rely on
asymptotic approximation, which is more nearly satisfied when small
number of events are added together. For analyses results that
follow, ORs <1.0 favor nifedipine.
Analyses of cardiovascular events were stratified by type of nifedipine formulation (IR [TID or QID dosing], SR [BID dosing], or ER [QD]) and by whether nifedipine was prescribed as monotherapy or combination therapy. To test whether the unadjusted ORs differed between the type of formulation and monotherapy versus combination therapy, we fit 2 logistic regression models, each including a term for type of drug (nifedipine versus other), 1 of the stratification factors (type of formulation or monotherapy/combination therapy), and an interaction term. The interaction term was used to determine whether the OR for drug type differed by the stratification factor.
To investigate whether treatment effects were confounded with study level covariates, we fit multiple logistic regression models and computed the adjusted ORs for treatment.14 Covariates of interest were drug run-in before randomization, duration of treatment, parallel or crossover study design, quality score, date of publication, and study location. Drug regimen characteristics (nifedipine versus control drugs and monotherapy versus combination therapy) and their interactions were included in all models. Dose relationships could not be explored because most studies that titrated dosages did not report the distribution of doses patients received.
| Results |
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25 subjects; and were
4
weeks in duration. The majority were performed in Europe and were
published since 1987.
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Population Characteristics and Drug Regimens
All patients had chronic stable angina. Their mean age was 58.2
years (range of means, 49 to 63 years), and a large majority were male
(Table 2
). Patients with recent MIs or
congestive heart failure had been systematically excluded.
Nifedipine was used as monotherapy in the majority of
nifedipine study arms and drug exposures. Most
nifedipine combination therapy groups used ß-blockers.
Control arms consisted of other active drugs given as monotherapy in
most studies, with ß-blockers accounting for 56.9% of control arms
and 70.0% of exposures.
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Nifedipine IR formulations were used in 76.9% of
nifedipine study arms but in only 50.2% of exposures since
studies using nifedipine SR or ER formulations had larger
sample sizes. Starting doses of nifedipine were titrated
upward to achieve the desired clinical responses in 41.5% of study
arms and reached a maximum of
80 mg/d in 30.6% and 20% of study
arms for IR and SR/ER nifedipine, respectively. The
proportion of subjects who actually received higher doses was rarely
specified.
Incidence of Cardiovascular Events
Nifedipine Versus Other Active Drugs
One or more cardiovascular events were reported in
35% of studies (21/60), in 1.14% of patients in
nifedipine study arms, and in 0.72% of patients in active
drug control arms (Table 3
). In
nifedipine study arms, there were 30 events, including 4
deaths, 7 other major events, and 19 episodes of increased angina. In
control arms, there were 19 events, including 1 death, 7 other major
events, and 11 episodes of increased angina. All episodes of increased
angina on nifedipine occurred on monotherapy. Figure 1
presents the associations between
the type of drug regimen, nifedipine formulation, and the
risk of cardiovascular events. Overall unadjusted ORs
were not significant for major cardiovascular events
(OR=1.40 [95% CI, 0.56 to 3.49]), episodes of increased angina
(OR=1.75 [95% CI, 0.83 to 3.67]), or all events (OR=1.61 [95% CI,
0.91 to 2.87]). ORs adjusted for type of drug regimen and other study
level covariates increased to 1.45 (95% CI, 0.58 to 3.62) for major
events and 1.75 (95% CI, 0.98 to 3.13) for all events but still did
not reach statistical significance. Drug run-in, US location of the
study, and a higher quality score were independently and significantly
associated with an increased risk of all events when we controlled for
drug regimen. Study design (crossover or parallel) was not associated
with treatment effects.
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Nifedipine Formulation
To assess the effects of nifedipine formulation, ORs
were calculated separately for IR and SR/ER formulations. The latter
were combined in the analysis because of small numbers of
events in each alone. Compared with other active drugs, the OR was not
significant for IR nifedipine for risk of major events
(OR=1.96 [95% CI, 0.59 to 6.52]). However, a significantly higher
risk of episodes of increased angina (OR=4.19 [95% CI, 1.41 to
12.49]) and all events combined (OR=3.09 [95% CI, 1.39 to 6.88])
was evident. Odds ratios for study arms using SR or ER formulations
were not statistically significant for major events (OR=0.78 [95% CI,
0.17 to 3.49]), for episodes of increased angina (OR=0.30 [95% CI,
0.06 to 1.43]), or for all events combined (OR=0.47 [95% CI, 0.16 to
1.36]). The OR for IR nifedipine was significantly higher
than that for SR/ER nifedipine for increased angina
(P=0.001) and all events (P=0.006) but not for
the major events category (P=0.36).
Nifedipine Monotherapy Versus Combination
Therapy
Figure 2
compares
nifedipine monotherapy and combination therapy (all
formulations) with active drug controls. In the nifedipine
combination therapy group, 93.3% of patients were receiving a
ß-blocker. Active drug controls were from the same studies and
included both monotherapy and combination therapy regimens. ORs for
major cardiovascular events were 1.53 (95% CI, 0.54 to
4.30) for monotherapy and 1.22 (95% CI, 0.17 to 8.71) for combination
therapy. Corresponding ORs for all events were 2.61 (95% CI, 1.30 to
5.26) and 0.29 (95% CI, 0.06 to 1.37). The effects of
nifedipine monotherapy were predominantly on episodes of
increased angina (OR=3.90 [95% CI, 1.45 to 10.45]). Differences in
ORs between nifedipine monotherapy and combination therapy
were significant for increased angina (P=0.03) and all
cardiovascular events (P=0.01) but not for
major events (P=0.81).
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Study Withdrawals
Study withdrawals were significantly higher on
nifedipine monotherapy (all formulations) than active drug
controls for both ADRs (OR=1.7 [95% CI, 1.3 to 2.2]) and all causes
(OR=1.5 [95% CI, 1.2 to 1.9]). With nifedipine
combination therapy, withdrawals for neither ADRs nor for all causes
were significantly different than controls (OR=0.7 [95% CI, 0.3 to
1.8] and OR=0.6 [95% CI, 0.2 to 1.5], respectively). The higher
withdrawal rates for ADRs on nifedipine monotherapy were
due primarily to edema and symptoms related to the effects of
sympathetic stimulation and vasodilatation, such as
tachycardia and headache. Interestingly, withdrawal rates
did not differ significantly between IR and SR/ER formulations.
| Discussion |
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A study published subsequent to the search cutoff date for this review reinforces these findings. The Total Ischemic Burden European Trial75 was a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, controlled study that enrolled 682 patients with chronic stable angina. Patients were randomized to receive atenolol alone, SR nifedipine alone, or the combination and were followed for up to 3 years (mean, 2 years). A nonsignificant trend toward lower rates of cardiovascular events including unstable angina was found in the combination therapy group. Significantly higher withdrawal rates were found in the nifedipine monotherapy group (40% versus 27% for atenolol alone versus 29% for the combination).
This review cannot distinguish whether the increased risk associated with IR formulations of nifedipine is due to ADRs or diminished efficacy. Stimulation of sympathetic activity may be important to both mechanisms. IR formulations are absorbed rapidly after oral administration, reach high peak plasma concentrations, and have been associated with increased heart rates and cardiac outputs.76 77 78 The formulations designated as SR or ER are absorbed more slowly, exhibit flatter plasma concentration curves, and are thought to stimulate sympathetic activity less.77 78 79 The lower frequency of cardiovascular events on combination therapy may be due to the effect of ß-blockers in modulating the cardiostimulatory effects of nifedipine.
Withdrawals from studies may be due to an inability of patients to tolerate a drug, lack of drug efficacy, or protocol violations. Higher withdrawal rates for ADRs in this study were confined to nifedipine monotherapy. Amelioration of drug-related symptoms by the addition of a ß-blocker to the regimen or the ability of combination therapy to achieve the desired therapeutic response at lower nifedipine doses is the most likely explanation.
A major strength of this meta-analysis is the inclusion of the universe of relevant published RCTs, which increases the generalizability of results and minimizes the likelihood of bias due to case-mix differences between study arms. Other strengths include the use of rigorous and explicit methods for selecting studies; the blinding of articles before data extraction; dual extraction of each article by 2 physicians; and thorough exploration of the resulting database, including multiple logistic regression.
Limitations relate to the relatively small number of adverse cardiovascular events on which analyses are based; the short duration of studies; inability to adjust per-person rates for the duration of drug treatment because available information did not permit us to determine the timing of events relative to the initiation of treatment; inability to explore dose relationships to adverse events because most studies did not provide information on actual doses received; and the paucity of patient-level data to permit case-mix adjustment across studies.
In conclusion, this systematic review of the literature suggests that adverse effects of nifedipine on cardiovascular events in patients with stable angina are due primarily to more frequent episodes of increased angina when monotherapy with IR formulations is used. SR formulations and concurrent use with ß-blockers do not appear to be associated with increased risk in the studies included in this data set. Although meta-analysis has an important role in quantifying the risk of rare but important ADRs, long-term RCTs remain the gold standard required to verify these conclusions.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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Received June 18, 1998; first decision July 13, 1998; accepted September 22, 1998.
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