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(Hypertension. 1999;33:44-52.)
© 1999 American Heart Association, Inc.
Scientific Contributions |
From the Investigations Préventives et Cliniques (IPC) (A.B., A.R., F.T., L.G.) and INSERM U337 (A.B., M.S.), Paris, France.
| Abstract |
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Key Words: mortality heart rate pulse pressure coronary artery disease cerebrovascular disorders
| Introduction |
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In a large general French population with relatively low cardiovascular risk, we investigated the effects of high HR as an independent predictor of long-term CVD and non-CVD mortality in different subgroups according to age, gender, and the presence or absence of hypertension. In addition, we assessed the cumulative contribution of HR and PP to mortality, taking into account the possible interaction between these 2 factors.
| Methods |
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HR was measured by ECG after the subject had rested for 5 to 7 minutes
in the supine position and was recorded in 1 of the following
classifications: HR1<60, 60
HR2
80, 80<HR3
100, and HR4>100
bpm.
A nurse measured supine BP in the right arm using a manual
sphygmomanometer. After a 10-minute rest period, BP was measured 3
times and the mean of the last 2 measurements was calculated. The first
and the fifth Korotkoff phases were used to define systolic and
diastolic pressures. Smoking status and physical activity
were assessed with a self-administered questionnaire composed of
dichotomic (yes or no) questions regarding tobacco use (current
consumption of >10 cigarettes/d) and physical activity (
2 h/wk).
Plasma cholesterol was measured with a Technicon SMA-12.
The follow-up study period ended in December 1994 (mean follow-up was 18.2 years). Deceased subjects were identified from the mortality records of the Institut National de Statistiques et d'Etudes Economiques (INSEE). A patient from our cohort was classified as deceased when the same first name, last name, gender, and date of birth as the patient was listed in the INSEE mortality records during the period of the follow-up. Only subjects meeting all 4 of these criteria were classified as deceased. Individuals who matched for gender, last name, and only 1 of the 2 other criteria were excluded from the study. All other subjects were classified as alive at the end of the follow-up period. Following this procedure, 2646 subjects (2036 men and 610 women) from our cohort were classified as having died during the follow-up period. Causes of mortality were taken from the death certificates. These data were provided by the INSERM Department of Mortality (Unit SC 8). Causes of death were codified according to the International Classification of Disease (8th revision until 1978, 9th revision thereafter). To validate this procedure we took a sample of 250 subjects and compared our data with those found at the city halls. An error was found in 2 cases (<1%).
All subjects gave their written informed consent for their data to be used for epidemiological studies. Permission to obtain mortality data was given by the Comité National de l'Informatique et des Libertés (CNIL).
Data Analysis
Because gender distribution was not
representative in our population, men and women were
studied separately. For the purpose of the analysis, subgroups
were compared according to age (40 to 54 versus 55 to 69 years) and
presence of or lack of hypertension (systolic BP >140
mm Hg, diastolic BP >90 mm Hg, or antihypertensive
treatment).
To compare the HR groups, the following statistical tests were used.
(1) Mean values of morphometric parameters, BP, and total
cholesterol were compared using a 1-way ANOVA. A
2 trend test was used for tobacco
consumption, physical activity status, antihypertensive medication, and
history of diabetes and myocardial infarction. (2) Death rates for the
different causes of mortality were compared using a
2 trend test. P values
refer to the difference between all groups of HR. (3) Survival
probability for the different causes of mortality in the 4 HR groups
were compared using a Cox regression analysis. Curves
presented in Figure 1
were not
adjusted for other risk factors. The P values
presented in Figure 1
were adjusted for age, systolic
BP, diastolic BP, cholesterol, body mass index
(BMI), tobacco consumption, physical activity, antihypertensive
treatment, and history of myocardial infarction. (4) In the different
analyses, the risk ratio compares the risk of the second,
third, and fourth classes to the first class (<60 bpm), which is
considered as the reference class (risk ratio=1). (6) Risk ratios and
95% confidence intervals for the different causes of mortality were
calculated for both genders, and in younger and older subjects, using a
Cox proportional hazard regression analysis controlling for age
alone or age and other risk factors (systolic BP,
diastolic BP, cholesterol, BMI, tobacco
consumption, physical activity, antihypertensive treatment, and history
of myocardial infarction).
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The interaction between HR and PP (used in different models as either continuous, quantitative, or 4-class qualitative parameters using the quartile approach) was also tested. We tested 3 models: (1) PP, age, mean BP, and other risk factors (cholesterol, tobacco consumption, physical activity, antihypertensive treatment, history of myocardial infarction, and BMI); (2) model 1 plus HR; and (3) model 2 plus PP and HR interaction, using a likelihood-ratio test.
The qualitative separation for PP was accomplished by defining the
following quartiles: PP1
45; 45<PP2
50; 50<PP3<65; and
PP4
65 mm Hg. This classification by increments of 5 mm Hg
is the closest to the quartile distribution in the entire
population.
The level of statistical significance was 5%. All statistical analyses were performed using SAS software.
| Results |
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Table 2
shows the mortality rates in men
and women according to the HR class. In men, frequencies of all-cause,
noncardiovascular, cardiovascular, and
coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality were significantly
increased in the higher HR groups (P<0.001), whereas
cerebrovascular mortality was found to be unrelated to the HR level. In
women, the effect of HR was observed for all-cause and non-CVD
mortality, and a trend was also observed for stroke mortality
(P=0.054).
|
Figure 1
shows the survival probability curve according to HR classes
for all-cause and CVD mortality in both genders. In men, high HR was
associated with all-cause, CVD, and CHD mortality (P<0.001)
(not shown). In women, this association was observed only for all-cause
mortality.
Table 3
indicates the
risk ratios and confidence intervals in both sexes for the different
causes of mortality according to HR values. In men, after adjustment
for age (upper section), HR was a significant predictor of non-CVD and
CVD mortality. For non-CVD mortality, the risk significantly increased
for HR>80 bpm compared with the reference group (HR<60 bpm). For CVD
mortality, the risk was already significantly increased in the group
60
HR
80 and progressively increased in the higher HR groups. The
association between HR and CVD mortality was due to an increase in CHD
mortality but not to an increase in stroke mortality. After controlling
for other risk factors (lower section), there was an overall decrease
in the risk ratios, but they remained significant. For women, HR was
associated with all-cause and non-CVD mortality but not with CVD
mortality.
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Table 4
presents the
risk ratios for the different causes of mortality in younger and older
men, adjusted for age alone (upper section) and for age and other risk
factors (lower section). In both age groups, the same associations were
observed between HR and the different causes of mortality.
Nevertheless, a trend for higher risk ratios for non-CVD mortality was
observed in younger men. In women, the risk of all-cause and non-CVD
mortality related to HR did not differ according to age (not
shown).
|
Figure 2
shows the mortality rates in
normotensive and hypertensive subjects according to HR level. As
expected, in both genders, the presence of hypertension was associated
with an increased risk in the different causes of mortality. HR was
significantly associated with all-cause, CVD, and
non-CVD mortality (not shown), both in normotensive
and hypertensive subjects. High HR was associated with a higher CHD
mortality only in hypertensive men (P<0.01); in
normotensives the same trend was observed but was not statistically
significant (P=0.12). However, no significant interaction
between HR and presence of hypertension on CHD mortality was observed.
The level of HR did not predict stroke mortality regardless of BP level
(not shown). In women, a significant association between HR and
all-cause mortality was observed in normotensives. HR was not
associated with CVD mortality in women. In fact, in hypertensives,
there even seems to be an inverse trend for CVD and CHD mortality,
although the associations are not significant. This is probably due to
the low number of cardiovascular deaths in women.
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We also studied the combination effect of PP and HR on the different
causes of mortality by comparing the 3 models: PP (model 1); PP and HR
(model 2); PP, HR, and the interaction PPxHR (model 3) (see Methods).
In both genders, PP and HR were independent predictors of all-cause and
non-CVD mortality, with no significant interaction, indicating that the
effect of HR on non-CVD mortality was not influenced by the level
of PP. For CVD and especially CHD mortality, PP and HR were again
significant predictors in men (model 1 versus model 2:
2=12.7 for CVD mortality and 9.2 for CHD
mortality; P<0.001 for both), but a negative interaction
between the two was observed (interaction term following the
likelihood-ratio test model 2 versus model 3 was significant for CVD:
2=17.9, P<0.0001, and
2=9.1 for CHD, P<0.001). Figure 3
shows CVD and CHD death rates according
to HR and PP classes. In the first 3 groups of PP, an elevated level of
HR was associated with a higher mortality rate for both CVD and CHD. In
the last group of PP (
65 mm Hg), however, no significant
association between HR and CVD or CHD was observed. For an increment
from one class to the next of HR, the mean risk (95% confidence
interval) for CVD, after adjustment for age and other risk factors, was
as follows: PP1, 1.55 (1.10 to 2.10); PP2, 1.35 (1.06 to 1.73); PP3,
1.38 (1.13 to 1.67), and PP4, 0.92 (0.75 to 1.13). In women, no such
interaction was observed, and the effect of HR was not significant for
CVD and CHD mortality regardless of PP level (not shown).
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| Discussion |
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As previously described by others (see review),5 we found that increased HR was not only associated with excessive CVD mortality but also with non-CVD causes of death. The explanations for this association remain unclear. It has been suggested that increased HR is a nonspecific variable of health and mortality rates. Interestingly, as for HR, BP levels are also a strong predictor for both CVD and non-CVD mortality.
Role of HR on CVD Mortality in Subgroups of Subjects According to
Gender, Age, and Presence of Hypertension
In the present study we investigated whether the effect of HR
on CVD mortality rates was different according to gender, age, and the
presence of hypertension. We found that the association between HR and
CVD mortality was present in men but not in women, thus confirming
previously reported data.5 6 Theoretically,
differences between men and women could be due partly to the relatively
small number of CVD deaths in the female population. However, as shown
in Figure 3
, the presence of hypertension was a strong predictor for
CVD and CHD mortality in women. Thus, the observed gender differences
do not seem to be the exclusive consequence of low death rates in women
but might also reflect differences in the specific role of each risk
factor in the cardiovascular system.
As shown in Table 1
, mean age was similar in the different HR groups.
The lack of association between age and HR has already been reported by
others.1 2 3 4 5 In the present study, we
also showed that age did not influence the role of HR in CVD mortality.
Thus, HR seems to be a significant predictor of CVD mortality in both
younger and older subjects.
Finally, we did not observe significant interactions between the presence or absence of hypertension and high HR as predictors of CVD mortality. It is possible that the difference concerning the association of HR and CHD mortality reflects a tendency toward a more pronounced effect of HR in hypertensive subjects, but the interaction term was not significant.
Interactions of the Two Components of the Cyclic Strain: PP
and HR
To better understand the role of the 2 components of
pulsatile stress on the different causes of mortality, we evaluated the
combined effects of PP and HR. In the present investigation,
elevated levels of PP were observed in subjects with higher HR (Table 1
). Similar results were reported in other epidemiological studies in
which correlations between HR and BP were generally stronger with
systolic than with diastolic
BP,13 14 15 showing higher PP levels in
subjects with increased HR. In the present study, associations
between HR and PP remained significant even after adjustment for age,
body weight, height, smoking, and other possible confounders. However,
a recent report from the SAVE trial found no relationship between HR
and PP in postinfarction patients with impaired left
ventricular function.16 These
differences may be related to underlying pathologies and/or to the use
of medication in the population of the SAVE study.
We observed that the association of high HR and high PP has cumulative effects on all-cause and non-CVD mortality, ie, no interaction was observed between the 2 parameters. On the contrary, a negative synergistic effect was observed in men for CVD and CHD mortality, indicating that the CVD risk for the combined presence of high HR and PP was lower than expected. It has been shown previously that high PP, which mainly reflects arteriosclerotic alterations of the aorta and other large arteries, was an independent risk marker for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality.12 17 18 It is therefore possible that a common mechanism enhances both PP and HR and that this mechanism is the main cause of cardiovascular complications. Interestingly, a similar negative interaction between HR and cholesterol was recently reported by Mensink et al.6 Some authors (see Reference 55 ) suggest that sympathetic overactivity could be the common factor acting on cholesterol, HR, and PP.
Another explanation for the negative synergistic effect of HR and PP on
CVD mortality is that in subjects with high HR, PP levels at the site
of the brachial artery do not reflect central aortic PP. Actually, the
relation between central and peripheral PP is determined by
transfer function, which is frequency
dependent.19 This transfer function has a
peak modulus of
3, at a frequency of 4 Hz. This implies that PP
amplification between aorta and brachial artery increases with
HR.20 It has been calculated that an
increase in HR of 10 bpm increases PP amplification by 10% (Alberto
Avolio, personal communication, 1998). Thus, tachycardic subjects with
high brachial PP may be at lower risk than expected since their aortic
PP (which is a major determinant of cardiac afterload) is overestimated
because of the amplification phenomenon.
Finally, we can also suggest that since PP and HR are the 2 components of cyclic stress, at lower levels (categories 1 to 3) the increase in HR is the stronger determinant of total cyclic stress, while at higher PP (>65 mm Hg), the effect is primarily driven by the marked increase in arterial stiffness.
The results of the present study suggest that accelerated HR represents an independent predictor of all-cause mortality for both genders and of CVD mortality in men, independent of age and the presence of hypertension. The combination of high HR and high PP increases the risk of all-cause and non-CVD mortality. Further investigations are needed to explain the complex interactions between HR, PP, and cardiovascular complications.
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| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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Received March 2, 1998; first decision March 24, 1998; accepted September 8, 1998.
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A. Benetos, C. Adamopoulos, J.-M. Bureau, M. Temmar, C. Labat, K. Bean, F. Thomas, B. Pannier, R. Asmar, M. Zureik, et al. Determinants of Accelerated Progression of Arterial Stiffness in Normotensive Subjects and in Treated Hypertensive Subjects Over a 6-Year Period Circulation, March 12, 2002; 105(10): 1202 - 1207. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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