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(Hypertension. 2001;38:1112.)
© 2001 American Heart Association, Inc.
Scientific Contributions |
From the Departments of Epidemiology (X.X., J.H., O.I.M., P.K.W.) and Biostatistics, School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, and Department of Medicine (J.H., P.K.W.), School of Medicine, Tulane University, New Orleans, La; and Louisiana State Office of Public Health (M.G.F.), New Orleans.
Correspondence to Jiang He, MD, PhD, Department of Epidemiology, Tulane University School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, 1430 Tulane Ave SL18, New Orleans, LA 70121-2484. E-mail jhe{at}.tulane.edu
| Abstract |
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Key Words: alcohol blood pressure meta-analysis clinical trials
| Introduction |
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We conducted a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials to examine the effects of alcohol reduction on BP. By pooling information from individual trials, we were able to obtain more stable statistical estimates of intervention effect and to explore the basis for heterogeneity in the study outcomes.
| Methods |
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To be included, a study had to meet the following criteria: (1) the study was conducted in humans; (2) there was random allocation of study participants to alcohol reduction and control groups; and (3) alcohol reduction was the only intervention difference between the comparison groups. In studies with a factorial design, other interventions such as exercise or reduced sodium intake had to apply equally to the active and control groups or periods. (4) The intervention duration was
1 week; and (5) a change in systolic and/or diastolic BP was an outcome of the trial. Fourteen studies met these criteria and were included in our meta-analysis. One study included 2 independent strata (daily and weekly drinkers) and was treated as 2 trials.5
Major reasons for the exclusion of studies were (1) nonrandomized treatment assignment,4,19,20 (2) comparison of alcohol intake rather than alcohol reduction on BP,2023 (3) comparison of the effects of different dosages of alcohol on BP,24 (4) comparison of the effects of multiple interventions (including alcohol reduction) on BP,25 and (5) intervention duration of <1 week.21
Data Extraction
Using a standard protocol, 3 of the authors (X.X., M.G.F., and O.I.M.) extracted information on sample size, participant characteristics, study design, intervention methods, duration, and treatment results. Disagreements were resolved by discussion among the 3 abstractors and in some instances with input from 1 of the other authors (J.H.). The quality of the trials was independently assessed by 3 investigators according to the quality scoring system described by Chalmers et al.26 Quality scores were not used to weight the effect size but rather as an exclusion criterion for sensitivity analysis.
Statistical Analysis
To calculate the overall effect size, each study was weighted by the reciprocal of the variance for BP change. Because variances for BP net changes were not reported directly for most studies, they were calculated from confidence intervals (CIs), t statistics, probability value, or individual variances for the intervention and control groups (periods). For parallel trials in which variance for paired differences was reported separately for each group, we calculated a pooled variance for net change using standard methods.27 When the variance for paired differences was not reported, it was calculated using the variances at baseline and at the end of follow-up based on the methodology of Follmann et al.28 In this method, we assumed a correlation coefficient of 0.5 between the initial and final BPs28 and equal variances during the trial and between intervention and control groups.
Fixed- and random-effects models were used to estimate the overall effects of alcohol reduction on BP.29,30 Homogeneity of effect size across studies was tested by means of Q statistics.31 Because no statistically significant heterogeneity was found among studies, the results from the fixed-effects model are reported.31 However, the 2 models yielded similar results.
To explore the influence of covariates on the net change in BP, a series of prestated subgroup analyses were performed. Subgroups were selected on the basis of biological plausibility and our review of the literature. For each subgroup, pooled effects were calculated using the fixed-effects model, and statistical significance was tested by ANOVA. Meta-regression analysis was used to estimate the effect of various study characteristics on the net change of BP weighted by the inverse of its variance. Covariates for meta-regression analysis were selected based on the results of the subgroup analysis and prior biologic knowledge. For each trial, the covariates were calculated as average values of the active treatment and control groups at baseline or average change from baseline. Where information on mean age was not reported in 2 trials, we used imputed values (the average age in the remaining 13 trials) in our meta-regression analysis. For crossover trials, we used the mean BP during the control period as the baseline value.
To examine potential publication bias, a funnel plot that related sample size to effect size and a correlation analysis between sample size and standardized BP were performed. Kendalls
correlation coefficients between sample size and standardized systolic and diastolic BP reduction were calculated and tested for statistical significance.32
| Results |
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Net Change in BP
The intervention effect, as measured by reduction in self-reported daily consumption of alcohol, ranged from 16% to 100%, with a median of 76% (Table 2). Compared with the control subjects, the intervention group had an average net change in BP of -1.0 to -6.3 mm Hg for systolic BP and 0 to -6.0 mm Hg for diastolic BP (Table 2). Mean net change in body weight ranged from -0.42 to -1.0 kg, with a median of -0.56 kg. All 15 trials had an intervention-related trend toward a reduction in systolic BP, with 9 of the trials (60%) showing a statistically significant result (Figure 1). For diastolic BP, a trend toward intervention-related reduction in BP was also noted in all 14 trials, with a statistically significant reduction in 8 (57%) of the trials. One trial failed to report the net change in diastolic BP.13
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Overall pooled estimates of the effect of alcohol reduction on systolic and diastolic BP were -3.31 (95% CI, -2.52 to -4.10) mm Hg and -2.04 (95% CI, -1.49 to -2.58) mm Hg, respectively (P<0.0001 for both). After exclusion of a cluster-randomization trial,15 the net reduction in systolic and diastolic BP was -3.26 (95% CI, -2.56 to -3.97) mm Hg and -2.04 (-1.45 to -2.63) mm Hg. After exclusion of studies with poor compliance in intervention (net self-reported reduction of alcohol consumption of <30%),15,17 the net reduction in systolic and diastolic BP increased to -3.40 (95% CI, -2.67 to -4.13) mm Hg and -2.06 (95% CI, -1.40 to -2.72) mm Hg, respectively. After exclusion of studies with a relatively short intervention duration (<4 weeks),6 the net reduction in systolic and diastolic BP was -3.33 (95% CI, -2.51 to -4.15) mm Hg and -1.98 (95% CI, -1.42 to -2.53) mm Hg, respectively. After exclusion of trials with poor quality (average quality score of <60),5,6 net changes in systolic and diastolic BP increased to -3.41 (95% CI, -2.68 to -4.14) mm Hg and -2.05 (95% CI, -1.41 to -2.69) mm Hg.
There was no significant heterogeneity among trials in the effects of alcohol reduction on BP. The Q test for homogeneity was not significant (P>0.50 for systolic BP and P>0.25 for diastolic BP), even without taking into account the variation in study design, duration of intervention, percentage of alcohol reduction, mean age of the participants, and pretreatment BP. However, the statistical power for testing heterogeneity may not be sufficient because only 15 trials were included in this meta-analysis.
Subgroup and Meta-Regression Analysis
Table 3 summarizes the pooled estimates of the treatment effect among subgroups of trials defined according to participant and study design characteristics. The effects of alcohol reduction on both systolic and diastolic BP were consistent in each of the subgroups included in the analysis.
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Meta-regression analysis identified a significant and positive relationship between mean percentage of reported alcohol reduction and corresponding net reduction in both systolic and diastolic BP (P=0.003 and P=0.03, respectively; Table 4). There also was a significant and positive relationship between average pretreatment BP and mean reduction in systolic BP (P=0.008). Approximately 78.6% of the variation in systolic BP and 50.3% of the variation in diastolic BP net change was explained by 5 variables included in the multivariate model (Table 4). Percentage reduction of alcohol intake and average pretreatment BP accounted for the majority of the variance for systolic BP, whereas percent reduction in alcohol intake, sample size, and pretreatment BP accounted for almost half of the total variation for diastolic BP.
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Testing for Publication Bias
The possibility of publication bias was explored by plotting the net change in BP against sample size for each trial (Figure 2). Net change in BP tended to be larger for studies with the smallest number of participants, and there was a trend for the variation of net change to diminish with increasing sample size. Kendalls
correlation coefficients between sample size and standardized systolic and diastolic BP reduction were 0.096 (P=0.345) and -0.088 (P=0.337), respectively. Thus, the totality of the evidence failed to document the presence of publication bias.
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| Discussion |
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The effect size estimated from our meta-analysis is consistent with experience from observational epidemiologic studies. In the International Study of Salt and BP (INTERSALT) study, men who drank 300 to 499 mL alcohol/wk (
2.8 to 4.8 drinks/d) had a 2.7mm Hg higher level of systolic BP and 1.6mm Hg higher level of diastolic BP than did nondrinkers after adjustment for age, body mass index, smoking, and urinary excretion of sodium and potassium.35 The mean baseline alcohol consumption in our study population was 3 to 6 drinks/d. With an average 67% reduction in alcohol consumption, the net change in BP was -3.31 mm Hg for systolic and -2.04 mm Hg for diastolic, which were well within the range expected from observational epidemiological studies.
There are several limitations to our meta-analysis. First, only 1 of the trials9 that we could include had woman as study participants. Therefore, our study provides little direct evidence regarding the effect of alcohol reduction on BP in women. However, experience in observational epidemiological studies indicates that the association between alcohol consumption and BP is similar in men and women.13 Another limitation of our meta-analysis is that the participants in the 15 trials we studied tended to be fairly heavy alcohol drinkers (
3 drinks/d). Therefore, we were not able to examine the effect of moderate alcohol consumption on BP. Prospective epidemiological studies have indicated that persons with a low to moderate alcohol consumption have a reduced risk for coronary heart disease, stroke, and all-cause mortality compared with nondrinkers.3639 The effect of moderate alcohol consumption on BP is not fully understood. A linear, J-shaped, or threshold association between alcohol consumption and BP has been reported in observational epidemiological studies.13
The BP-lowering effects of alcohol reduction in the present study are similar to those noted with potassium supplementation or sodium reduction.40,41 It has been estimated that a small downward shift in the distribution of BP in the general population could substantially reduce the risk of hypertension and cardiovascular disease. Data from overviews of observational studies and randomized trials suggest that a 2-mm Hg reduction in diastolic BP would be expected to result in a 17% decrease in the prevalence of hypertension, a 6% reduction in the risk of coronary heart disease, and a 15% reduction in the risk of stroke and transient ischemic attacks.42
It has been suggested that BP-reduction effect of a reduced intake of alcohol is smaller in long-term than in short-term intervention trials because study participants continually adapt to the depressor effects of alcohol withdrawal.4 However, in the current analysis, we did not recognize a significant difference in the effect of alcohol reduction on BP between trials with a longer or shorter duration of follow-up. The pooled effect size of -3.24 and -2.22 mm Hg for systolic and diastolic BP in the 5 trials with the longest duration (
12 weeks) suggests that the reduction in BP can be maintained over periods that are relevant in clinical and public health practices. Our study also suggests that both low-alcohol beer substitute and counseling intervention significantly lower BP and that their effects on BP reduction do not differ. Therefore, both approaches can be used to lower BP in heavy alcohol drinkers.
In summary, our findings indicate that a reduction in alcohol intake among heavy drinkers significantly reduces systolic and diastolic BP. Furthermore, our study suggests that alcohol reduction should be recommended as an important component of lifestyle modification for the prevention and treatment of hypertension among heavy drinkers.
| Acknowledgments |
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Received April 17, 2001; first decision April 17, 2001; accepted May 7, 2001.
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R. R. Zilkens, V. Burke, J. M. Hodgson, A. Barden, L. J. Beilin, and I. B. Puddey Red Wine and Beer Elevate Blood Pressure in Normotensive Men Hypertension, May 1, 2005; 45(5): 874 - 879. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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F. D. Fuchs Vascular Effects of Alcoholic Beverages: Is It Only Alcohol That Matters? Hypertension, May 1, 2005; 45(5): 851 - 852. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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National High Blood Pressure Education Program Wor The Fourth Report on the Diagnosis, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure in Children and Adolescents Pediatrics, August 1, 2004; 114(2/S2): 555 - 576. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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Y. S. Yoon, S. W. Oh, H. W. Baik, H. S. Park, and W. Y. Kim Alcohol consumption and the metabolic syndrome in Korean adults: the 1998 Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey Am. J. Clinical Nutrition, July 1, 2004; 80(1): 217 - 224. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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V. Franco, S. Oparil, and O. A. Carretero Hypertensive Therapy: Part II Circulation, June 29, 2004; 109(25): 3081 - 3088. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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V. Franco, S. Oparil, and O. A. Carretero Hypertensive Therapy: Part I Circulation, June 22, 2004; 109(24): 2953 - 2958. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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W. W. HERMAN, J. L. KONZELMAN JR., and L. M. PRISANT New national guidelines on hypertension: A summary for dentistry J Am Dent Assoc, May 1, 2004; 135(5): 576 - 584. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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P. Muntner, D. Gu, X. Wu, X. Duan, G. Wenqi, P. K. Whelton, J. He, and for the InterASIA Collaborative Group Factors Associated With Hypertension Awareness, Treatment, and Control in a Representative Sample of the Chinese Population Hypertension, March 1, 2004; 43(3): 578 - 585. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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A. V. Chobanian, G. L. Bakris, H. R. Black, W. C. Cushman, L. A. Green, J. L. Izzo Jr, D. W. Jones, B. J. Materson, S. Oparil, J. T. Wright Jr, et al. Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure Hypertension, December 1, 2003; 42(6): 1206 - 1252. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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A. V. Chobanian, G. L. Bakris, H. R. Black, W. C. Cushman, L. A. Green, J. L. Izzo Jr, D. W. Jones, B. J. Materson, S. Oparil, J. T. Wright Jr, et al. The Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure: The JNC 7 Report JAMA, May 21, 2003; 289(19): 2560 - 2571. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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P. K. Whelton, J. He, L. J. Appel, J. A. Cutler, S. Havas, T. A. Kotchen, E. J. Roccella, R. Stout, C. Vallbona, M. C. Winston, et al. Primary Prevention of Hypertension: Clinical and Public Health Advisory From the National High Blood Pressure Education Program JAMA, October 16, 2002; 288(15): 1882 - 1888. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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S. P. Whelton, A. Chin, X. Xin, and J. He Effect of Aerobic Exercise on Blood Pressure: A Meta-Analysis of Randomized, Controlled Trials Ann Intern Med, April 2, 2002; 136(7): 493 - 503. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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