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(Hypertension. 2007;50:181.)
© 2007 American Heart Association, Inc.
Sixth International Workshop on Structure and Function of the Vascular System |
From the Centre for Epidemiological Studies and Clinical Trials (J.G.W., Y.L.), Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China; Preventive Cardiology Program (S.S.F.), University of California, Irvine; and the Diagnosis Center (M.S.), Hopital Hotel-Dieu, Paris, France.
Correspondence to Ji-Guang Wang, Shanghai Institute of Hypertension, Ruijin 2nd Rd 197, Shanghai 200025, China. E-mail jiguangwang{at}netscape.net
| Abstract |
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0.14). The within-trial between-group difference in achieved systolic pressure ranged from 1.1 to +4.7 mm Hg for trials involving an amlodipine group and from 2.8 to +4.0 mm Hg for trials involving an angiotensin receptor blocker group. The metaregression analysis correlating odds ratios with blood pressure differences showed a negative relationship (regression coefficients: 3% to 8%), which reached statistical significance (regression coefficient: 6%; P=0.01) for stroke in trials involving an amlodipine group. In conclusion, blood pressure differences largely accounted for cardiovascular outcome.
Key Words: blood pressure clinical trial calcium channel blocker angiotensin receptor blocker stroke myocardial infarction
| Introduction |
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The CASE-J Trial18 was presented recently at the 21st Scientific Meeting of the International Society of Hypertension (October 2006, Fukuoka, Japan) and did not show any significant difference in stroke or coronary events between amlodipine- and candesartan-based antihypertensive regimens in Japanese patients with hypertension. In the present quantitative overview, we investigated the efficacy of amlodipine or ARBs in the prevention of stroke and myocardial infarction in patients with hypertension, coronary artery disease, or diabetic nephropathy and explored by meta-regression analysis whether there was any benefit or harm beyond blood pressure control for these 2 classes of antihypertensive drugs.
| Methods |
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2 years; and sample size of
100. We also accepted large-scale trials, of which the main results had been presented at international meetings with confirmatory information published on the internet.18 We first compared outcomes among patients randomly assigned to initial treatment with amlodipine or ARBs and placebo or other antihypertensive drugs, such as diuretics, ß-blockers, ACE inhibitors, or short-acting calcium channel blockers. In analyses for both amlodipine and ARBs, we incorporated trials of head-to-head comparisons between amlodipine and ARBs. For this part of our analysis, we identified 14 trials including 4 (ALLHAT,19,20 ASCOT,21,22 CAMELOT,12 and PREVENT23), 7 (ACCESS,24 DETAIL,11 IRMA2,25 LIFE,8 MOSES,13 RENAAL,7 and SCOPE9), and 3 studies (CASE-J,18 IDNT,6 and VALUE10) involving an amlodipine group, an ARB group, or both groups, respectively. However, we excluded the ACCESS Trial, because the subjects of this study were patients with hypertension within 24 hours of an acute stroke,24and the IRMA2 Trial, because the number of cardiovascular events was not reported.25 Of the 12 trials in the analysis, the ALLHAT,19 CAMELOT,12 and IDNT6 Trials included 3 randomly assigned groups. Definitions of all trial acronyms are provided in the Appendix.
We then performed meta-regression analyses separately for trials involving amlodipine or ARBs. For trials involving an amlodipine group, we included odds ratios for amlodipine versus a diuretic (ALLHAT/Chlorthalidone),19 a ß-blocker (ASCOT/Atenolol),21 ACE inhibitors (ALLHAT/Lisinopril20 and CAMELOT/Enalapril12), ARBs (CASE-J/Candesartan,18 IDNT/Irbesartan,6 and VALUE/Valsartan10), or placebo (IDNT,6 CAMELOT,12 and PREVENT23). For trials involving an ARB group, we included odds ratios for ARBs versus a ß-blocker (LIFE/Atenolol),8 an ACE inhibitor (DETAIL/Enalapril),11 a short-acting calcium channel blocker (MOSES/ Nitrendipine13), amlodipine (CASE-J,18 IDNT,6 and VALUE10), or placebo (SCOPE,9 IDNT,6 and RENAAL7).
Outcomes
We based our analysis on the summary statistics reported in the literature613,1921,23 or at meetings and available in the internet.18 In all of the trials, outcome results were reported on the basis of an intention-to-treat principle. However, in 7 (ASCOT, CAMELOT, CASE-J, LIFE, MOSES, SCOPE, and VALUE) of the 12 trials, from 6 (0.3%)12 to 85 (0.4%)21 or from 0.3%8,12 to 3.8% (n=53)13of patients were excluded from the intention-to-treat analysis because of good clinical practice deficiencies,10,18 blood pressure measurement,21 or other unspecified8 irregularities; withdrawal of consent12,24; or data quality concerns or nondispense of study drugs.9 We extracted from the source documents fatal and nonfatal strokes (excluding transient ischemic attacks) and fatal and nonfatal myocardial infarctions (excluding silent). Starting from published reports, we had no other option than to accept the definitions of events as given by the investigators. For the ALLHAT and ASCOT trials, myocardial infarctions also included coronary deaths.19,21 For the CAMELOT Trial, strokes included transient ischemic attacks, and myocardial infarctions included cardiovascular deaths.12
Statistical Methods
We determined the relative difference from the odds ratios in stratified 2x2 contingency tables.26 We used StatXact for Windows (CYTEL Software Corporation), version 4.0, to check the homogeneity of the odds ratios by Zelens test and to compute exact 95% CIs.27 In the presence of significant heterogeneity, we applied a random-effects model to compute pooled estimates.28 To permit comparisons with other overviews,13 we also derived the SDs of the pooled odds ratios by analogy with the asymptotic approach by dividing the logarithmically transformed 95% CI by 2x1.96. All reported P values are for 2-sided hypotheses.
We performed separate metaregression analyses for trials involving amlodipine or ARBs and pooled trials with reference treatment of the same class. We used the SAS statistical software (SAS Institute), version 9.1, to correlate odds ratios of amlodipine or an ARB versus reference treatment with the corresponding baseline-adjusted differences in systolic blood pressure between randomized groups. For these calculations, odds ratios were logarithmically transformed. The regression lines were weighted by the inverse of the variance of the individual odds ratios.29 Net treatment effects on blood pressure were determined by subtracting the mean change in the amlodipine or ARB group from the corresponding mean change in the reference group. When a group of trials were pooled, the blood pressure difference was calculated by averaging the between-group blood pressure difference within each trial with the number of randomly assigned patients as a weighting factor. To standardize estimates of relative risk across trials, whenever possible, we computed observed odds ratios with exact 95% CI from 2x2 contingency tables.
| Results |
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P
0.99; Figure 1).
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For actively controlled trials, overall, the pooled analyses showed that amlodipine provided significantly more protection against stroke and myocardial infarction than other classes of antihypertensive drugs. For the 6 trials combined,6,10,12,1821 the odds ratio was 0.81 (95% CI: 0.75 to 0.87; P<0.0001) for stroke and 0.93 (95% CI: 0.87 to 0.99; P=0.03) for myocardial infarction. However, the benefit of amlodipine was more consistent and prominent for stroke than for myocardial infarction. For stroke, the odds ratio was statistically significant regardless of trials versus ARBs (odds ratio: 0.84; 95% CI: 0.73 to 0.97; P=0.02) or trials versus other antihypertensive drugs (odds ratio: 0.79; 95% CI: 0.72 to 0.87; P<0.0001). For myocardial infarction, the odds ratio was only significant in trials versus ARBs (odds ratio: 0.83; 95% CI: 0.72 to 0.96; P=0.01) but not in trials versus other drugs (P=0.29).
For the placebo-controlled trials, the pooled odds ratios had a size consistent with estimations of previous meta-analyses, but probably because of the relatively small number of events (74 strokes and 159 myocardial infarctions) only reached borderline statistical significance for stroke (odds ratio: 0.63; 95% CI: 0.38 to 1.04; P=0.06) and myocardial infarction (odds ratio: 0.71; 95% CI: 0.51 to 0.99; P=0.04).
ARBs Versus Placebo and Other Antihypertensive Drugs
Eight trials with 39 487 randomly assigned patients compared ARBs with a ß-blocker (n=9193),8 an ACE inhibitor (n=250),11 a short-acting calcium channel blocker (n=1352),13 amlodipine (n=21 094),6,10,18 or placebo (n=7598).6,7,9 Tables 1 and 2
show the characteristics of these trials and randomly assigned patients, respectively. Of these 8 trials, 3 head-to-head comparison trials of ARBs versus amlodipine6,10,18 had been included in the analysis of amlodipine versus other antihypertensive drugs. For none of the pooled analyses except that of all actively controlled trials (P=0.0007) did the P values for heterogeneity reach statistical significance (0.26
P
0.68; Figure 2).
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For stroke, because of significant heterogeneity, we contrasted the pooled odds ratios of 3 head-to-head comparison trials of ARBs versus amlodipine and 3 trials versus other antihypertensive drugs (odds ratio: 1.19; 95% CI: 1.03 to 1.38 versus odds ratio: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.64 to 0.89; P<0.0001). For myocardial infarction, in spite of insignificant heterogeneity (P=0.26), the pooled odds ratios were also significantly different among 3 head-to-head comparison trials of ARBs versus amlodipine and 3 trials versus other antihypertensive drugs (odds ratio: 1.21; 95% CI: 1.04 to 1.40 versus odds ratio: 1.01; 95% CI: 0.84 to 1.22; P=0.03). The combined result of the 3 placebo-controlled trials was neutral for stroke (P=0.14) and for myocardial infarction (P=0.46).
Metaregression Analysis
We plotted odds ratios for both amlodipine and ARB trials in the same figure but performed metaregression analyses separately for trials involving an amlodipine group and those involving an ARB group (Figure 3). The within-trial, between-group difference in systolic blood pressure ranged from 1.1 mm Hg19 to 4.7 mm Hg6,12,13 for trials involving an amlodipine group and from 2.8 mm Hg13 to 4.0 mm Hg11 for trials involving an ARB group (Table 2 and Figure 3).
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The metaregression analysis correlating the odds ratios with the corresponding within-trial differences in systolic blood pressure showed negative relationship (regression coefficients: 3% to 8%). For the trials involving an amlodipine group, the metaregression line was significant and linear for stroke (regression coefficient±SE: 6±2%; P=0.01) but not statistically significant for myocardial infarction (regression coefficient±SE: 3±2%, P=0.18). For stroke, blood pressure differences accounted for 90% of the variance of individual odds ratios, and the intercept of the metaregression line also reached statistical significance (intercept±SE: 89±33%; P=0.007), indicating an 11% benefit in outcome beyond systolic pressure differences between randomized groups. For the trials involving ARBs, the metaregression line was not significant for either stroke or myocardial infarction (P>0.22 for the 2 intercepts and P>0.20 for the 2 regression coefficients).
| Discussion |
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Our overview has to be interpreted within the context of its limitations. As in all meta-analyses that start from published summary statistics, we achieved less standardization than is attainable in quantitative overviews based on individual patient data.30 Thus, the participants characteristics may have influenced our estimates of benefits or risks, as well as the definition and validation of end points in individual trials. Indeed, the trial with an open design tended to produce results in favor of the tested drug.13 Blinded end point evaluation cannot avoid overreporting or underreporting of events by investigators. Second, there is limited trial evidence for ARBs in hypertension, especially for the comparison with ACE inhibitors, which might decrease the validity of the meta-analysis in general and metaregression analysis in particular. The ongoing ONTARGET Trial might provide some additional evidence.31 More studies are definitely required, considering the huge number of patients with hypertension who are currently exposed to various ARBs. Third, this analysis was restricted to trials in patients with hypertension or in patients with coronary artery disease or diabetic nephropathy, of whom the majority also had high blood pressure. Thus, the findings of this analysis cannot be directly extrapolated to other patient populations, such as those with acute myocardial infarction or congestive heart failure. Fourth, a few trials, such as ALLHAT,19,20 ASCOT,21 and VALUE,10 are much larger than the other studies included in our analysis and, hence, in pooled analyses may overwhelm the small trials. However, the results of the small trials appear qualitatively similar to those of the large trials so that the inequality of sample size probably does not greatly affect the overall results. In addition, we did not include in our analysis heart failure as an outcome, mainly because the diagnostic procedure for heart failure is inconsistent across trials, and because heart failure is not always precisely reported.
Our findings on amlodipine versus diuretics, ß-blockers, or ACE inhibitors are in keeping with the results of previous meta-analyses,15 which showed that calcium channel blockade in general provides more protection against stroke25 and that amlodipine in particular provides similar protection against myocardial infarction.1 For the comparison between amlodipine and ARBs, the pooled results remained virtually unaltered from the combined results of 2 trials17 after adding on data of the CASE-J Trial.18 Amlodipine provided 16% and 17% more protection against stroke and myocardial infarction than ARBs, in the presence of
1.5 mm Hg of systolic pressure difference favoring amlodipine. The 1.5 mm Hg of difference in systolic blood pressure may account for most if not all of the difference in stroke and probably also in myocardial infarction.
Calcium channel blockade prevents intima-media thickening.32 This might contribute to the observed 11% of blood pressureindependent benefit of amlodipine on stroke. However, it is also possible that the benefit is only independent of blood pressure measured in the clinic, in the daytime, or at the brachial artery, but not necessarily independent of blood pressure obtained at home, for 24 hours, especially at night or at the aorta. There is some evidence that the latter pressures might be more predictive of cardiovascular outcome than the former pressure parameters.33 The ASCOT Conduit Artery Function Evaluation substudy showed that amlodipine-based regimen, compared with atenolol-based treatment, reduced central systolic pressure by 4.3 mm Hg, despite similar influence on brachial pressure.34 The ambulatory blood pressuremonitoring substudy of the ASCOT Trial reported recently in meetings that amlodipine-based regimen, compared with atenolol-based treatment, significantly reduced nighttime pressure. However, whether the difference in nighttime pressure or in central pressure estimated by a transfer function could account for outcome remains to be elucidated.
Our analysis on ARBs focused on trials in hypertension in the presence or absence of cardiovascular disease or diabetic nephropathy, and, hence, differed slightly from previous analyses on this issue.15,16 In general, ARBs provided average protection against stroke but inferior protection against myocardial infarction. The contrasting results between trials versus amlodipine and trials versus other drugs suggest that the outcome effect of ARBs depended on the comparator drug. This dependency, however, can still be attributable to blood pressure differences (1.1 versus +0.7 mm Hg;
=1.8 mm Hg), despite insignificant results in the metaregression analysis. Ancillary pharmacological properties of certain drugs might also play a part. For instance, amlodipine prevents intimamedia thickening.32
According to Fourniers hypothesis, angiotensin type 1 receptor blockade is neuroprotective by the upregulation of the angiotensin type 2 receptor in the brain.35 However, there is insufficient evidence of randomized trials, in spite of significant findings in the MOSES13 and LIFE trials.8 The MOSES Trial had an open design, small sample size (n=1352), and high exclusion rate after randomization (3.8%).13 The LIFE Study compared losartan with atenolol, which had been repeatedly shown inferior to other classes of antihypertensive drugs, especially in stroke prevention,36,37 needless to say the significant, though small, blood pressure difference in favor of losartan.8 In addition, the estimation of the inferiority of ARBs in coronary prevention was relatively small (+13%), with a wide CI (+1 to +30%). This new class of drugs requires more randomized trials, especially in patients with hypertension.
Conclusions
The conclusions of our previous meta-analyses13 that blood pressure differences largely account for cardiovascular outcome remain valid, consistently and strongly emphasizing the desirability of tight blood pressure control. There is some evidence that certain drugs or classes of drugs might confer small blood pressureindependent superior or inferior influence on certain outcome measures or in certain populations. However, before we incorporate the tiny evidence into clinical guidelines, more studies are required.
Perspectives
As evidenced by ALLHAT19,20 and ASCOT,21 the 2 largest-ever trials in hypertension, amlodipine-based antihypertensive regimen, compared with other drug regimens, might confer more outcome benefit, possibly by lowering central systolic pressure34 or ambulatory pressure over 24 hours. The latter hypothesis should be tested against antihypertensive drugs, preferably long acting and other than ß-blockers, especially atenolol. Because ARBs are gaining market in most countries, there is urgent need for well-designed and well-conducted randomized, controlled trials. For instance, ARBs should be compared with ACE inhibitors to test whether the former are neuroprotective in acute stroke patients and to test whether the latter are more protective against myocardial infarction in patients with hypertension at high cardiac risk.
| Appendix |
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| Acknowledgments |
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This study was financially supported by grants from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (30571607), the Shanghai Commission of Science and Technology (06QA14043 [the Rising Star Project]), and the Shanghai Commission of Education (the Dawn Project).
Disclosures
S.S.F. is on the speakers bureau of Boehringer Ingelheim, BristolMyers Squibb, and Merck and on the consultant/advisory board of BristolMyers Squibb, AtCor Medical, Merck, and Pfizer. All compensation is insignificant except for that of the advisory board of BristolMyers Squibb. The remaining authors report no conflicts.
Received February 20, 2007; first decision March 13, 2007; accepted April 12, 2007.
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